Just a brief recap on those who are participating
- E. Smith
- N 55th Vin
- Rocs 4567748559
- Danny Boy 18
- Head Chicken Keeper
- Benoit's Smart Car
- Aslan The Melon
If I'm missing anyone or you want to put your name down, comment below.
I want to stress that this is only a provisional model. Points will be given for picking who gets the sack and when said manager gets the sack. That has pretty much been decided on. If you pick Mark Hughes you get sacked, and he is at any time through out the whole season, you get 5 points. I still need to decide what the time periods will be. So far there are two option for the time periods:
Option 1, use of the Gregorian Calender:
There are two time periods and then the individual months inside those time periods. The first time period corresponds to first half of the season, August to the end of December. The second time period corresponds to the second half of the season, January to the end of May. Because that's too easy, I've decided to split the time periods up into their individual months. August, September, October, November, December for the first half of the season. January, February, March, April and May for the second half of the season.
If you pick correctly that Mark Hughes will be sacked in the first half of the season, and he is, but you have predicted he'll be sacked in October and he's sacked in November, you get a total of 10, 5 for the correct manager and 5 for the correct time period. You miss out on the 10 for the correct month.
If you predict that Hughes will get the sack in November, and he does, you get the bonus 10. 20 in total, 5 for the correct manager, 5 for the correct time period and 10 for the correct month.
Option 2, use of games:
For this option, the season is split into a to-be-decided number of segments. The advantage of this is that is gives a uniformity to way to the season is split up. With option 1 there are more games in some months, e.g. there are usually lots of games in December and not so many in September. The increased number of games, increases the likelihood of the manager getting sacked. This is a problem for me, I'm not sure it'll be a problem for others, tell me in the comments. For experimental purposes, I'll split the season into 4 segments. The first segment is 9 games long (match days 1-9), the second segment is are 9 games long (match days 10-19) the third segment is 9 games long (match days 20-29) and the fourth segment is 8 games long (match days 30-38)
If you predict that Hughes will get the sack in segment 2 but he's sacked in segment 3, you get 5 points for getting the who correct, but you miss out on 10 points for getting the when correct.
If you predict that Hughes will get the sack in segment 3 and he does, you get 15 points, 5 for the correct who and 10 for the correct when.
Apologies if that was a bit convoluted.Negative marking scheme:
If you predict that David Moyes will get the sack and he doesn't at any time during the season, you will get docked 5 points. The same goes for any manager who you predict to be sacked but isn't.Prediction limit:
I thought about imposing a limit for the number of managers you can predict to get the sack. Then I said, nah. So you can go #YOLO if you want.
I'd appreciate it if all those who are partaking in this would comment and put in their tuppence worth. This is a league for the people