FanPost

What's left to upgrade?

I've been playing around* with some of the statistics used by Sally and Anderson to analyze the impact of this summer's transfers (including Bale) on the likely performance of Spurs this season.

With Soldado the highest ranked player in the starting XI and Rose the lowest (thanks to the addition of Lamela), the gap between highest ranked and lowest ranked is a ratio of 1.595. That is a great tightening from the pre-window ratio of 1.72, with Bale the highest.

According to Sally and Anderson's "weak link" theory, what's most important is for a team to upgrade its weakest player either through development/coaching or transfer. At this point, if you assume that Chiriches is not the weakest or second weakest link, the ratio actually becomes 1.196 (top player 76%, worst 56%), which is an amazing leap that puts us in the rarefied air of Europe's top 10-15 clubs.

Assuming some of the players in the starting XI are young enough to still have some upside potential, an assumption I don't think is unwarranted, then what we have here is a massive improvement in the team. This team should score more, lose less, and get more points in the standings.

For reference, Arsenil is currently around 1.49 (72/51), Liverpool is about 1.73 (85/49).

The management has put a team in place that should qualify for the Champions League. I don't think that's entirely news to everyone, but it's interesting to see it borne out by these statistical methods. What's even more interesting, to me anyway, is the knowledge that a few cheaper signings at midfield and defense could actually put the team into the mix for the title.

*I make no representation that I've correctly applied these statistics or that I'm error free here. If someone comes up with different numbers/interpretations, please post.

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