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Explaining Expected Goals, soccer’s newest star


Once you’re on Match of the Day, you’ve made it. The statistic “expected goals” (or “xG”) is breaking through in sports media. In the past, I’ve written up long explainers and even a full methodology for xG. But this time, we wanted to show you that xG may involve a lot of math, but the ideas behind xG are clear and intuitive enough to fit in a four-minute video. To that end, we made a four minute video explaining xG. Enjoy!