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Cartilage Free Captain predicts the 2019-20 Premier League Table

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The masthead voted, and then the community. Here are the results.

TOPSHOT-FBL-ENG-PR-BRIGHTON-MAN CITY Photo credit should read CHRIS J RATCLIFFE/AFP/Getty Images

Yes, the 2019-20 Premier League has already started. That doesn’t mean we can’t still predict the table! One match doesn’t mean anything over the course of a 38-match season. (Except when it comes to Manchester City, just give them the title now, amirite?)

Each year the writers at Cartilage Free Captain put their heads together to come up with the best, most sensible, and perfect Premier League table predictions known to humankind. Actually, we just all put our predictions into a spreadsheet and let it average everything out, but whatever. And then we asked the community for your rankings on that handy dandy online poll. Well, the results are in.

This year, the masthead rankings and community rankings are pretty similar. I’ll include both and then my usual Qualtrics graphics from the community rankings as a means of evaluation.

Masthead 2019-20 Table Predictions

Club AVG ST/DEV Highest Lowest Title% Top4% Rel%
Club AVG ST/DEV Highest Lowest Title% Top4% Rel%
Manchester City 1.15 0.376 1 2 85% 100% 0%
Liverpool 2.08 0.494 1 3 8% 100% 0%
Tottenham 2.77 0.599 1 3 8% 100% 0%
Arsenal 4.46 0.776 4 6 0% 69% 0%
Chelsea 4.69 0.480 4 5 0% 31% 0%
Manchester United 6.77 1.013 5 9 0% 0% 0%
Wolverhampton 7.38 1.557 5 11 0% 0% 0%
Leicester 7.46 1.198 6 9 0% 0% 0%
Everton 8.62 0.961 7 10 0% 0% 0%
West Ham 10.62 1.325 9 14 0% 0% 0%
Watford 10.77 0.927 10 13 0% 0% 0%
Southampton 12.23 1.691 8 15 0% 0% 0%
Crystal Palace 14.00 1.958 11 17 0% 0% 0%
Bournemouth 14.23 1.878 11 17 0% 0% 0%
Burnley 15.08 1.320 12 17 0% 0% 0%
Aston Villa 16.46 2.367 12 20 0% 0% 38%
Brighton 16.62 1.981 14 20 0% 0% 31%
Newcastle 16.92 1.977 13 19 0% 0% 54%
Norwich 18.77 1.235 16 20 0% 0% 85%
Sheffield United 18.85 1.725 14 20 0% 0% 85%

Community Table Predictions

Club AVG Title% Top4% Rel%
Club AVG Title% Top4% Rel%
Manchester City 1.68 72% 97% 0.1%
Liverpool 2.62 11% 96% 0.5%
Tottenham Hotspur 2.64 15% 98% 0.1%
Arsenal 5.18 2% 53% 2.8%
Chelsea 5.77 0% 22% 1.3%
Manchester United 5.85 0% 19% 0.0%
Everton 7.46 0% 3% 0.0%
Leicester City 8.56 0% 1% 0.0%
Wolverhampton Wanderers 8.75 0% 2% 5.8%
Watford 11.72 0% 0% 5.7%
West Ham 11.88 0% 0% 8.5%
Bournemouth 12.13 0% 3% 2.0%
Crystal Palace 13.50 0% 0% 8.1%
Burnley 14.31 0% 0% 14.8%
Aston Villa 14.33 0% 3% 11.5%
Southampton 14.97 0% 0% 17.7%
Newcastle 15.91 0% 0% 33.0%
Brighton & Hove Albion 16.44 0% 2% 47.7%
Norwich City 17.54 0% 0% 59.9%
Sheffield United 18.74 0% 0% 80.3%

Manchester City is far and away the favorite to three-peat.

And it isn’t even close. A whopping 72% of you chose the Citizens, which is even more than last year’s predictions. 89% of all respondents had them either first or second. F—king City, man.

Manchester City

Here is the rest of your top four.

There’s surprising unanimity here as well, especially picking Arsenal in fourth place ahead of Chelsea. That surprised me a bit. I guess Tottenham fans like Arsenal more than they trust Frank Lampard to actually be good? I find it interesting that most people were actually and refreshingly realistic as to Tottenham’s prospects this season — everyone seems to think a top three finish is basically a certainty. Spurs got more first place votes than Liverpool did, I’m guessing because Spurs blog.

Hilariously, none of the masthead had Manchester United in the top four. Chelsea just misses out, though they’re basically a coin-flip with United for 5th/6th.

Liverpool
Tottenham Hotspur
Arsenal
Chelsea

These teams are going down.

Again, there’s shocking agreement as to the most likely candidates to be relegated this season. Sheffield and Norwich’s placements are identical in both the masthead and community table, and the community REALLY thinks Sheffield is going down — fully half of the submissions had them in 20th. The only difference between the tables is Newcastle vs. Brighton, and in the community table Toon finishes 17th, barely safe.

Brighton
Norwich
Sheffield

Who’s going to gate-crash the top six? Probably nobody.

Ten years ago everyone talked about the “big four” — Manchester United, Chelsea, Liverpool, and Arsenal. Well, Spurs and Manchester City gate-crashed that party, so now it’s which of the remaining interlopers can sneak into the top six and qualify for the Europa League? If our tables are anything to go by, it’s nobody. United is still the favorite to finish sixth, though the community thinks that if any club has a chance to knock United out of Europe, it’s Everton. Which will make Toffees fans real happy when they finish in their usual eighth place.

Manchester United
Everton
Leicester